Let's look at more market crashes!

The Dot-com Crash, the Great Recession, and COVID (again...)

Yesterday, I talked about the concept of scenario analysis for forecasting by applying the Great Depression to the S&P 500 as it stands today. But there are lots of other interesting market crashes to check out as well like the Dot-com crash:

The Great Recession was even worse in terms of depth but had a slightly faster recovery:

And, if anyone was interested in reliving COVID all over again (any volunteers?), we can see how that looks too:

The surprising thing is just how much shorter the COVID crash was in duration to the other two crashes. In hindsight, it really doesn’t seem so bad in market terms compared to the other two events. But, let’s just hope that the future looks more positive than these three scenarios!

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