Will Thanksgiving be a superspreader event?

It's hard to imagine COVID surging even more

I last posted about COVID-19 eleven days ago, when I wrote, “COVID-19 cases are skyrocketing.” Now, using the word “skyrocketing” implies some degree of "gee, it can’t seem to get much worse than this can it?” Unfortunately, since then, it has:

With cases this high, it’s, again, hard to imagine things getting worse. But, then you realize the holidays are right around the corner - first up, Thanksgiving.

I don’t know how much Thanksgiving will add fuel to the fire. Perhaps, with the current surge, more people are wary of making plans. However, plenty of people still are attending some form of get-together, spending hours sitting near each other, talking, drinking, and eating. This is usually such a great thing. Unfortunately, just like with every other social interaction for the last eight months, it has to come with an undercurrent of dread.

That being said, one positive right now is that we seem to be seeing some potential inflection of the current surge. Infection rates can’t go straight up forever. If we are seeing some degree of peak now, it’s possible that Thanksgiving won’t be enough to push us even higher. Though, that’s just speculation. Only time will tell.

More Metrics

It appears global cases are also potentially starting to peak - let’s hope so

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