Time flies - it’s already been almost three weeks since my last COVID-19 post, which asked, “Will Thanksgiving be a superspreader event?” It was a popular question and remains one for Christmas but honestly, if we are already in an ongoing nation-wide superspreading event, do holidays really change things that much? The trend is clear:
Two major things happened since the last check in:
We saw a dip in cases, which was primarily driven through a decrease in testing over Thanksgiving. (For deaths, I can’t say for sure why that trend also dipped, so I won’t offer a suggestion on that phenomenon.)
Both cases and deaths continued their surge following the brief Thanksgiving dip. Notably, deaths surpassed the rolling seven-day peak we saw in the first wave back in April.
Where do we go from here? Everyone is exhausted and many continue to flaunt safety recommendations. A vaccine is coming soon but how many doses will the country need to see an impact? Just because we have one now-ish doesn’t mean we will be able to see it’s effect on the country-wide infection and death trends right away. It could take months. That’s a long time for an exponentially spreading virus to do damage.
As if the millions of cases and hundreds of thousands of deaths hasn’t been enough already, it could be a long winter still.
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Globally, we have seen some leveling off in cases and deaths
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