Sitemap - 2021 - Endless Metrics

Thanks for a Great Year!

Plans for 2022

Two things I wasn’t so happy about this year

The three things I was most proud of in 2021

Broad Market Price-to-Earnings and Net Profit Margin Ratio Updates

Microsoft vs. The Market

Microsoft Valuation Metrics

Stress in the Banking System

Commodity and Food Prices

Services, Goods, Quits, New Businesses, and Alcohol

Inflation and Production

The Value Rotation Myth

Capacity Utilization, A Broad Leading Economic Index, Railcar Freight, Domestic Auto Sales, and Confidence

Construction and Manufacturing Jobs

An Unemployment Update

S&P 500 Valuation Update

Savings, Debt, Real Estate Investment, Capital Expenditures, and Student Loans

What are interest rates telling us?

Gold Price Metrics

Cryptocurrency Update

Air Travel, Vehicle Travel, Hospitality Employment, Furniture, and Clothes

Quarterly Household Wealth Report

Average Net Worth Per Person

How much does the average person have in debt?

What are the dollar figures behind average wealth?

Quantifying Changes in Wealth Inequality Over Time

U.S. Home Price Update

How does wealth composition differ for the rich?

Wealth Distribution for Other Assets

Wealth Inequality on a Per Person Basis Looks Horrendous

More Wealth Inequality

Wealth Inequality

Where else do people hold wealth?

Understanding Where People Hold Wealth

How High Inflation, A Weak Stock Market, and Poor Real Estate Performance Effect Net Worth

Forecasting Scenarios with Models and Historical Samples

Simple Forecasting Methodologies

Where does wealth come from?

Creating Guidelines for Real Net Worth

Real Net Worth

Real GDP for Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the Netherlands

Gas, Propane, Continuing Unemployment, Utilization, and Liquidity

Real Estate Price Metrics

Federal Public Debt, The Monetary Base, Cold Rolled Steel, Lumber, and Wealth Inequality

Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Consumer Credit, Job Openings, and Quits

Are we in a recession?

Treasury Yields, Mortgage Rates, Money Supply, Federal Debt / GDP, and Money Velocity

Oil Price Metrics

Thirty Years of Relative S&P 500 Valuation

Rail Freight, Domestic Auto Sales, Vehicle Miles, Housing Supply, Stress

October Inflation Results

More 2021Q3 Stock Results (so far) by Sector

2021Q3 Stock Results (so far) by Sector

More 2021Q3 Analysis for MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL, AMZN, TSLA, FB, NVDA, V, JNJ, UNH

2021Q3 Analysis for MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL, AMZN, TSLA, FB, NVDA, JPM, V, JNJ

Twenty Year Price Metrics for the Financial Sector

Fed Funds, Bonds, Houses, Savings, Cars

Sixty Years of Unemployment

Value and Growth

Inflation, Consumption, E-Commerce, Rental Vacancy, and Bad Loans

October Recap, November Plans, Some Metrics

S&P500 / M2, S&P500 / DPI, S&P 500 / Home Prices, Home Prices / Rent, Home Prices / DPI

S&P Price Metrics through October-end

A Detailed Breakdown of 2021Q3 GDP Results

September Manufacturing Metrics

A Detailed U.S. Home Price Update

Business Sector Metrics

Stock Market Bake Off! Featuring the EM1000

Inflation and Production

120 Years of S&P 500 Valuation

120 Years of Dividends and Inflation

120 Years of S&P 500 History

The Money Supply, Inflation, Credit, Spending, and Production

Air Travel, Furniture, Vehicle Travel, Clothes, and Hospitality Employment

Household Credit Risk

Checking in on higher-frequency economic indicators

Savings, Durable Goods, Inventories, Sentiment, and Inflation

Global GDP, Stocks versus Global GDP, and the U.S. economy versus the World, China, and Japan

Checking in on Crypto Mania

Sixty Years of Stocks and GDP

Job Market Update

Stock Market Bake Off! Featuring Apple, Google, Facebook, Amazon, and Microsoft

Analyzing Japan's Stock Market Bubble

Sixty Years of Metrics for Japan

Are U.S. Home Prices setting us up for a Housing Crash like Japan had in the 90s?

Consumption and Debt

Concerning trends in household finances

Sixty years of home prices

10Y Treasury Rates, The Yield Curve, Inflation Expectations, Volatility, High-Yield Spreads

Labor Force Participation

Risk-Adjusted Monthly Performance

September Recap, October Plans, Some Metrics

S&P 500 CAPE Ratio, Earnings, Earnings Ratio, Dividends, and Dividend Ratio

Stocks and the Economy

Real GDP Macroeconomic Relationships

Savings, Credit, Goods, Utilization, Cars

Bitcoin Price Metrics

Corporate Health Indicators

The Households are Alright

Market Cap, P/E, P/S, ROA, and Net Profit Margin by Sector

Market Metrics by Sector

What's going on with the U.S. housing market?

Dow Industrials / Transports, Copper / Gold, Sentiment, Money Velocity, Labor Force Participation

Corporate Bonds, Spreads, VIX, and the TED Spread

Fed Funds, Industrial Production, Retail Sales, An Economic Index, and Initial Claims

Introducing the EM1000!

Consumption, E-Commerce, Debt, and Delinquency

It feels like there is a strong "fear" narrative around the market right now

Mortgage Rates and New Home Permits by State

Euro Central Bank Assets, US Conditions, Bank Reserves, Deposits, Retail Funds

GDP, Inflation, Interest Rates, and Unemployment

Enterprise Value

EM100 vs. SP500 Performance

The Current Ratio, P/E, P/S, P/B

Current Assets and Liabilities

Cost of Goods Sold, Gross Profit, and More

Filtering Stock Picks with Return on Assets, Return on Equity, Net Profit Margin

Employee Metrics

S&P 500 Relative Value

Revenue, Net Profit Margin, Market Capitalization, Price-to-Sales, and Price-to-Earnings

Net Income, Assets, Equity, ROA, and ROE

August Recap, September Plans, Some Metrics

TQQQ Price Metrics

Manufacturing, Shipments, Vehicle Miles, and Student Loans

All Things Construction

Twenty Years of Energy Sector Price Metrics

Clothes, Cash, Saving, Credit, Conditions

Passenger Miles, Confidence, Jobs

Households, Furniture, Residential Investment, Hires, Capital Expenditures

Government Employees

Five Worrying Trends

A Recession Indicator, Capacity Utilization, Business Inventories, Durable Goods, and Savings

Bitcoin Metrics

Unemployment by State, Initial Claims, Continuing Claims, Weeks Unemployed, and Consumption

Risk / Return by Sector, Style, and Population Metrics for the US and Japan

Inflation Expectations and the Price of Lumber, Gas, Food, and Used Cars

Long-term real GDP trends around the world

Twenty Years of Real Estate ETF Performance

Federal Debt-to-GDP, Labor Force Participation, and Charge-offs for C&I, Consumer, and Real Estate Loans

Let's check in on Ethereum and Litecoin

Are surging home prices justified?

Twenty Years of Growth vs. Value

S&P 500 Earnings, Dividends, and Relative Ratios

Repo, Retail Money, Money Velocity, Sentiment, Money Markets

Twenty Years of Russell 2000 Price Metrics

Industrial Production, Retail Sales, The Monetary Base, Ten-year Treasury Rate, and the 30-year Mortgage Rate

Unemployment, High-yield Spreads, Inflation Expectations, Consumer Prices (aka inflation), and the Yield Curve

There's basically zero stress out there...for now

The Buffet Indicator, Household Debt, Debt/GDP, Household Equity, Household Debt-to-Equity

S&P 500 Price Analysis - Moving Averages, Price Relative to Moving Averages, and RSI

Housing Permits, Single-Family Homes, Home Supply, and Real Housing Prices

Gold, Bitcoin, Bitcoin / Gold, S&P 500 / Gold, Copper / Gold

July Recap, August Plans, Stocks, Money Printing, and Volatility

Real GDP for Japan, Germany, France, Italy, and Canada

Business Output, Employment, Output per Person, Compensation, and Cost

Gold Price Metrics: Moving Averages, Rolling All-time High, Drawdown, Rogue Waves, and RSI

Home Prices, Home Sales, Durable Goods, Business Inventories

Ethereum, Litecoin, and Relative Valuation Metrics to Bitcoin

Capacity Utilization, Allowance, Household Debt Payments, Deposits, and Money Market Funds

Bond Market Price Metrics: Price, Drawdown, Rogue Waves, Moving Averages, and RSI

A Recession Indicator, Average Weeks Unemployed, Real Estate Equity, Wealth of the 1%, Alcohol

Consumer Sentiment, Business Applications, and Charge-offs for Consumer, C&I, and Real Estate Loans

Gas Prices, Uranium, Non-Fuel Prices, Iron Ore, and Food

Disposable Income, Services, Homeownership, Durable Goods, and E-Commerce

Continuing Claims, Jobs by State, Financial Conditions, European Central Bank Assets, Retail Money Funds

The Wilshire 5000, Value, Growth, and Value vs. Growth Performance

Minimum Wage, Average Wage, Job Openings, Commodity Prices, Inflation Expectations

The Reverse Repo Blowout, The Monetary Base, Used Car Prices, Car Sales, Car Loans

Debt-to-GDP, Labor Force Participation, The Velocity of Money, Savings, Consumption

Bitcoin Price Metrics: Moving Averages, All-Time Highs, Drawdowns, Rogue Waves, and RSI

S&P 500 Price Metrics: Moving Averages, All-Time Highs, Drawdowns, Rogue Waves, and RSI

Silver, Copper, and Relative Valuations to Gold

Rent, Renters, Rental Vacancy, Lumber Prices, and Concrete

Housing Permits, Single-Family Homes, and State-level Housing Changes

Aaa Bonds, Spreads, and Three Stress Metrics

The Dow Jones, Transports, Industrials / Transports, Housing Supply and Prices

Banking Assets, Loans and Leases, Deposits and Two Key Balance Sheet Ratios

Baa Bond Rates, 10 Year Rates, The Yield Curve, Inflation, and a Long-term Inflation Forecast

Mortgage Rates, Real Home Prices, Household Net Worth, Debt, and Debt-to-Equity

ETFs by Volume, YTD Performance, The Nasdaq Composite, Nasdaq / SP 500, and Bitcoin / Nasdaq

S&P / GDP, Fed Funds, S&P / M2, Consumer Credit, and Retail Sales

Jobless Claims, Payrolls, Unemployment, Industrial Production, and Oil

Money Printing, High Yield Spreads, Bitcoin, Gold, and Home Prices

GDP, Stocks, The Fed, Inflation, and Jobs

There are a lot of ways to categorize metrics

Building out the Metric Database

Starting a Metric Database

Chart Quality vs. Quantity

A Thousand Charts

What's next for Endless Metrics?

A Summary of Sample Analysis

Benchmarks

Putting it all together

Outliers Matter

What about AMZN, GOOG, FB and others?

Banks Can't Skew Our Sample!

The Stock Sample Size Grows!

Banks are weird

Pivoting from the Endless Metrics Fund

Here's what I bought yesterday

Applying the market PE methodology to underlying stocks

Overall market PE Ratios are high...but how much of that comes from depressed earnings?

Comparing 10 big companies and 25 big companies

Two ways to interpret the latest inflation numbers

Long-term PE Ratios for Ten Big Companies

Analyzing PE ratios for ten big companies

Jumping into some balance sheet metrics

Things to consider when using the PEG ratio

Nine more important stock metrics

A quick review of stock metrics

The Price-to-Sales Ratio

Revenue and Net Profit Margin

Here's what I bought yesterday

Updates to Stock Database

The Price-to-Earnings Ratio

Stock Prices, Shares Outstanding, and Market Capitalization

Earnings

Buying, Selling, Timing, and Prediction

Forecasting is hard, forecasting for stocks is even harder

New Page! Daily 10-Year Inflation Forecast

Forecasting inflation with some uncertainty

Some comments on forecast uncertainty

A 30-Year Inflation Forecast

Yearly implied inflation rates

Long-term inflation expectations

Ohhhh, now that's a crypto crash!

Ten-year inflation forecast using interest rates

Here's what I bought yesterday

Forward-looking inflation metrics

Some thoughts on the future

Meh for Retail Sales

Checking in on inflation

Per Capita Emissions by State

Which state has the worst emissions?

State-by-state Labor Force Participation Rate

Here are the states with the most jobs

Comparing State Level GDP and Unemployment

A quick note on the jobs miss

The "Wild Stuff" Portfolio is now up over 500% YTD

State-by-state change in Real GDP during COVID

Real GDP by State

Here's what I bought yesterday

Reviewing Last Week's Market Performance

Reviewing Last Month’s Market Performance

How the unemployment rate has changed across the US over the last year

States with the highest and lowest unemployment

Jobs, Stress, Rates, and Inflation

Creating a model with the VIX and S&P 500

Nicolas Cage and GDP

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Some guardrails for regression modeling

Models can be terrifying

People are talking about a crypto "crash"

Some new daily charts for stocks

1000 Popular Stocks

Don't fear inflation

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

The S&P 500, Federal Reserve Assets, and High Yield Spreads

Industrial Production, Retail Sales, and Initial Claims

Here's what I bought yesterday

Mortgage Rates, Federal Funds Rates, Consumer Prices, and Treasury Rates

M2 Money, Real GDP, and the Yield Curve

Inflation, Credit, and Unemployment

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

What's next for the Endless Metrics website

The Weekly Economic Index

New Tracking Portfolio Section!

Year-to-date ETF Performance

A New Daily ETF Newsletter Section

1000 Popular ETFs

Reviewing Last Quarter’s Market Performance

Reviewing Last Month’s Market Performance

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Here's what I bought yesterday

High Yield Spreads

The Dow Jones Transportation Average

Daily Bond Yields

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Seven More Bear Markets

Let's look at more market crashes!

What if the Great Depression Started Tomorrow?

Three New Metric Pages!

Relative Price Indices for Bitcoin, the Nasdaq, and the S&P 500

Two New Metric Pages!

Five Important Bitcoin Price Metrics

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Tracking Portfolio Performance

Market Corrections since 1929

A Market Correction Doesn't Always Mean Real Stress

Some Analysis of the Recent Nasdaq Correction

Here's what I bought yesterday

Growth vs. Value Performance

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Small Cap Relative Valuation

Large Cap Growth, Mid Cap Value, and Mid Cap Performance Versus The Broader Market

Large Cap Value Performance

Large Cap Performance

COVID metrics continue to improve

Reviewing Last Week's Market Performance

Value, Growth, Big, Small, and In Between

Five more cool charts for the Nasdaq

Some new live charts for the Nasdaq

It doesn’t take many stocks to converge toward market behavior

Stock Prices and Dogs

Here's what I bought yesterday

Portfolio Sector Analysis Update

Reviewing February’s Market Performance

Quick Portfolio Update

S&P 500 Relative Strength Index

S&P 500 Moving Averages

Small Positions Can Have A Big Impact

Bitcoin and Choppy Seas

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Volatility and Rogue Waves

S&P 500 Drawdown

3M Treasury Rates, 3M Libor Rates, and the TED Spread

The Yield Curve, Inflation Expectations, and S&P 500

Here's what I bought yesterday

Shiny Stuff and Safe Stuff

One Tracking Portfolio is Dominating

COVID-19 Cases Crater

Reviewing Last Week's Market Performance

Portfolio Performance Review

Sector Analysis

Tracking Random Stuff

Tracking Big Stuff

Tracking Safe Stuff

Tracking Shiny Stuff

Cryptocurrency Portfolio Live Tracking

Now you can see my portfolio in real time!

Investing and Gambling

Silver, Market Valuation, and Yield Curves

Here’s what I bought yesterday

Risk and Return for January 2021

Reviewing Last Month’s Market Performance

Housing is slowly returning to normal again

GDP and Jobs

Brief thoughts on the madness

GameStop's (GME) Unusual Day(s)

Credit Card Delinquency Looks Just Fine

COVID-19 has peaked in the U.S.

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Performance vs. The Market

Jobs and Housing

The "New Normal" for Volatility

The S&P isn't everything

COVID-19’s Effect on S&P 500 Profitability

Retail Sales and Industrial Production

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Investing $2,500 - Round 2

Initial and Continuing Claims

Inflation and Valuation

Portfolio performance vs the S&P 500

Portfolio Check-in

2020 vs. 2019 Risk/Return

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

The COVID outbreak is worse than ever

I'm getting beat by ten random stocks

The world is changing

Energy is the top sector after two days

Here's how I invested $2,500 yesterday

I've got a lot of stuff to buy today!

A deeper look at 2020 market performance

The "Wild Stuff" cryptocurrency tracking portfolio is already going crazy

2020 Year-end Stock Market Review