Sitemap - 2020 - Endless Metrics

Thanks for a great year!

Finding a New Speed Limit for the New Year

52 Great Investing Books

I'm buying ten random stocks in the new year

Big Stuff

Safe Stuff

Shiny Stuff

Tether is my biggest concern with crypto

Buying Ten Cryptocurrencies in 2021

2021 Investing Schedule

There's no speed limit

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

When you don’t find a relationship

The Buffett Indicator

Bitcoin’s Doing It’s Thing Again

Tech stocks are up a lot but it’s not 1999

Nasdaq 100 Moving Averages and All-time Highs

Oil and ExxonMobil

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

One thing I dropped the ball on this past year

The COVID-19 Surge Continues

Benchmarking Stuff

A Cryptocurrency Investing Experiment

Investing for ten years

It's been a historic rally

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Facebook

Google

Amazon

Microsoft

Daily Stock - Apple

Daily Stock Highlight

Stock performance by decade

Guessing Sectors

Speculation

GDP is up but so are job losses

Valuation of stocks in major indices over the last twenty years

Stock Price, Market Capitalization, and Total Return

Will Thanksgiving be a superspreader event?

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Stocks are up in a recession year - is that weird?

First-hand Experience

Relative Cryptocurrency Valuations

Should you put your money in stocks or in cryptocurrency?

Small-cap versus Large-cap Stocks

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Individual Stock Metrics

Falling Inflation is Problematic

Stock Overlap of the Major Indices

COVID-19 cases are skyrocketing

Job Openings and Labor Turnover

The Long Decline of American Manufacturing

Reviewing Last Week’s Market Performance

Education and Unemployment

The Unemployment Downtrend Continues

S&P 500 Tech vs Broader Tech

Why the market is doing so well

The market has been good this election week

Construction has been stable

Bitcoin crushed October

Some COVID-19 thoughts

Checking in on a prediction for October

Q3 GDP looks good but this is still a historic recession

Gold has been even less correlated with the S&P 500 than Bitcoin

Bitcoin and S&P 500 Stock Correlation

Stocks that offer the most S&P 500 diversification

Stocks that offer the least S&P 500 diversification

Investing in the new year

COVID-19 is everywhere

Bitcoin's relative strength index pushes into overbought territory

This Bitcoin rally looks more sustainable

This is not a housing crisis

Despite the money printing, inflation isn’t doing much

The S&P 500's Biggest Winners

The S&P 500's Biggest Losers

Retail sales are doing great

One S&P 500 company has a lot of employees

Some thoughts on what comes next

One metric shows the market hasn’t fully recovered yet

Nvidia’s return dominates Tesla

Health is a lucrative business

Even companies have trouble with income inequality

Freight

Job Losses (and the Pandemic) Continue

Real estate ETFs don’t really diversify us from the stock market

Oil is the Energy Sector

Technology and Energy

How much will GDP recover in 2020Q3?

Retail Sales and E-Commerce

The President's Health and the Market

EM #276 - September wasn't great

EM #275 - We need more structure!

The diversification power of bonds

50% bonds is too much

Half bonds half stocks return-to-risk analysis

Bonds do what we thought they did

Half bonds half stocks almost always underperforms

Once again, rebalancing doesn’t do much

Half bonds ain’t half bad

It doesn’t take a lot to benefit from diversification

Let's not hold 50% gold okay?

Return-to-risk impact of a 50/50 gold and stocks portfolio

Comparisons of investment standard deviation over multiple time periods

Half and half?

Does rebalancing matter?

A simple 50/50 portfolio

S&P 500 Investment Options

The S&P 500 versus SPY

We need a benchmark

Optimal Portfolios

Return-to-Risk Time Period Comparison

Analyzing a longer time period

Who wants to hold a lot of Bitcoin?

Composition of Optimal Portfolios

Solver

1,000 Random Portfolios

Monte Carlo Simulation

Simple Investment Correlation Matrix

Do better than any single investment

Return and Risk for Six Investment Categories

Anatomy of a Bubble - Tesla and Bitcoin

An even simpler cheat sheet

Cryptocurrency

Commodity Performance

Real Estate vs Stocks

IG and Non-IG Bonds

Bonds - Domestic and International

Stocks - Domestic and International

Adding cash to a portfolio of stocks, bitcoin, and gold

Cash

An Investment Cheat Sheet

Investment Allocation Complexity

The efficient frontier for a three factor portfolio

What does the best portfolio look like?

Return-to-risk for stocks, bitcoin, and gold

Analyzing the diversification benefit of stocks, bitcoin, and gold

Return profile of stocks, bitcoin, and gold

Let’s add gold to our portfolio!

Correlation - Stocks and Bitcoin

Analyzing Daily Bitcoin and Stock Returns

Thinking about the stock market...

Portfolio Allocation - The Efficient Frontier

Portfolio Allocation - Return / Risk

Portfolio Allocation - Standard Deviation

Portfolio Allocation - Return

The Return-to-Risk Ratio

Standard Deviation (Stocks vs. Bitcoin)

Risk (Stocks vs. Bitcoin)

Stocks or Bitcoin?

Offense and Defense

New Page! Insured Unemployment

New Page! Continuing Claims

New Page! Initial Claims

2020Q2 GDP

COVID-19: Mississippi is the new Arizona

U.S. COVID-19 Deaths Aren't As Bad as Three Months Ago

It appears the current COVID-19 wave in the U.S. has peaked

2020Q2 GDP estimates still look really bad

S&P 500 stocks with abnormal volume

S&P 500 Stock Betas

S&P 500 stocks closest to their 52-week low

S&P 500 stocks furthest from their 52-week low

S&P 500 stocks closest to their 52-week high

S&P 500 stocks furthest from their 52-week high

New Page for the S&P 500

S&P 500 Stocks by Most Negative P/E Ratio

S&P 500 Stocks by Least Negative P/E Ratio

S&P 500 Stocks by Lowest P/E Ratio

S&P 500 Stocks by Highest P/E Ratio

Some quick thoughts COVID-19 right now

New Page! Industrial Production

New Page! Real Personal Consumption Expenditures

New Page! Household Net Worth / GDP

New Page! Household Net Worth

New Page! Real GDP

Ten Essential Metrics to Track the U.S. COVID-19 Outbreak

New Page! COVID-19 Deaths for NY, CA, FL, TX

New Page! New COVID-19 Cases for NY, CA, FL, TX

New Page! COVID-19 Positivity Rate

New Page! COVID-19 Hospitalizations

New Page! Tracking New COVID-19 Deaths

New Page! Tracking COVID-19 Cases

New Page! COVID-19 Death Rates by State

New Scatter Plot Metric

New Page! S&P 500 to Gold Ratio

New Page! COVID-19 Testing by State

Daily Tracking of COVID-19 Outbreak Severity by State

S&P 500 / Gold

Gold / Consumer Price Index

Making it easier to find new stuff

S&P 500 / Consumer Price Index

New Page! Nasdaq to S&P 500 Ratio

Consumer Price Index / Federal Minimum Wage

Launching a stand alone site for Endless Metrics

Market Capitalization

More S&P 500 Forecasting

Randomly Forecasting the S&P 500

Wages and Salaries

Personal Income

Your own simple budget template!

A simple budget

Domestic Debt / GDP

Debt

Should you invest your money all at once or over time?

How often has the U.S. been in a recession?

It’s (officially) a recession

Is it bad to invest at an all-time high?

Long-term investments

The market is rigged - in your favor!

S&P 500 / M2 Money Supply

Fifty good days

Long-term Bond Spreads

A hundred years of bond yields

Here’s something that isn’t as bad as 2008

There is no meaningful link between outbreak severity and unemployment

Unemployment by State

Continuing claims

The coronavirus death rate is falling

One thing I hate about finance articles

Fifty years of population change

Velocity of Money

M2

Here is an expert GDP forecast

The economy won't recover immediately

The Stock Market and Economy are Totally Disconnected

Infections are rising in some big states

The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

2020Q2 GDP estimates look really bad

Price-to-Earnings

When stocks go up, dividends go up

150 Years of Dividends

Dividends make the difference

S&P 500 Total Return Index

S&P 100 to S&P 500 Ratio

Nasdaq to S&P500 Ratio

Labor Force Participation Rate

Employment-to-Population

The Nasdaq

Another broken jobs chart

Months between stock market peaks and recessions

Stocks Bottom Before Recessions End

Stocks and Recessions

Industrial Production / GDP

Models behaving badly

We just had the tenth best month for stocks since 1928

2020Q1 Gross Domestic Product

Two quarters of GDP decline is not a good recession indicator

The Shortest Recessions in U.S. History

The Longest Recessions in U.S. History

The start of the financial crisis and now

Good Articles - April 25, 2020

Industrial Production

Did we really flatten the curve?

E-Commerce

Oil has a bad day

Personal Consumption Expenditures

Retail Sales

Good Articles - April 18, 2020

Seventy Years of Household Liabilities

Seventy Years of Household Assets

Components of Household Assets

Household Debt-to-Equity Ratio

Net Worth to GDP

Household Net Worth

Helpful Resources - April 11, 2020

That was the best week for the S&P 500 since 1974

Viruses and Hurricanes

Stock volume went crazy in March

Don't fight the Fed

COVID-19 Severity and Testing by State

Unemployment during the Great Depression

The Unemployment Rate

Ugh, the jobless claims chart is now even MORE broken

Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment

The Dow’s eighth worst quarter ever

We just witnessed a death cross

“The stock market is not the economy!”

Good Articles - March 29, 2020

Consumer Sentiment

Coronavirus broke the jobless claims chart

Initial Jobless Claims

WHAT (part 4)

This is now the ninth worst stock market crash since 1896

The economic impact of COVID-19 will affect each state differently

Quantifying COVID-19's Impact on Markets and the Economy

Helpful Resources - March 21, 2020

The Great Depression

The Stock Market Time Machine!

The worst stock market declines since 1896

Welcome to History

Good Articles - March 16, 2020

Potential good news for the US COVID-19 outbreak?

WHAT (part 2)

WHAT

Four critical charts to watch as the coronavirus pandemic spreads globally

Worst Drops in the Price of Oil since 1986

Now THAT was a market drop

Oil!

Getting started with Endless Metrics

Helpful Resources - March 7, 2020

The Volatility Index

Rogue Waves in the Market

Good Articles - March 4, 2020

Quantifying COVID-19's Impact on Markets and the Economy in Eight Charts

Treasury Rates

Gold

Four critical charts to watch as the coronavirus spreads globally

That was the fastest market correction ever

Points versus Percentages

When one -3% drop isn’t enough

Putting market losses into context

Forecasting COVID-19 Cases (Second Performance Update)

Helpful Resources - February 23, 2020

Good Articles - February 22, 2020

Stock Valuation and Momentum Indicators

The CAPE Ratio

Golden Crosses (and Death Crosses!)

Valuation With Moving Averages?

Moving Averages

What does overvalued even mean?

S&P 500 / Gross Domestic Product for the World

Helpful Resources #3

That's... a lot of new coronavirus cases

Gross Domestic Product for the World

The Wuhan Coronavirus Death Rate Is Climbing

S&P 500 / Gross Domestic Product

January’s Most Popular Posts

Good Articles - February 8, 2020

Did we just see the inflection point of the Wuhan Coronavirus outbreak in Hubei?

Forecasting Wuhan Coronavirus Cases (Performance Update)

Beware! The Coronavirus Stock Market Narrative

The S&P 500

Forecasting Long-term Wuhan Coronavirus (nCoV-2019) Mortality Rates

Five Useful Coronavirus Charts

Helpful Coronavirus Resources

US Real GDP vs. Estimates for 2019Q4

Forecasting Long-term Wuhan Coronavirus Cases

Forecasting Coronavirus Cases

Pandemic? It's still early...

An Alternative View of The Dow

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

Helpful Resources

Good Articles

GDP Going Forward

Nowcasting GDP

Quarterly Changes in US Real GDP

Inflation

Real GDP versus Nominal GDP

Metric Inventory

What's Next?

GDP Components Summary Review

Federal Components of GDP

Federal and State GDP

Government Spending and Investment

Net Exports of Goods and Services

Exports and Imports

Net Exports

The Idea Economy

Components of GPDI

Exposing the Private Side of GDP

The Service Economy

Goods Consumption

Consumers Gonna Consume

What's in GDP?

Reading a GDP Chart

Welcome to Endless Metrics